BTCUSDShort (sell)Pending order

BTCUSD Sell Limit at 78599.49 with Weekly Trendline Resistance and MA(14)

RC
By Rafael Costa ·
Win rate 100% over 1 closed trade · best on XAUUSD
BTCUSD sell trade idea chart by Rafael Costa

Charts · 4 in this plan

The idea

The trade setup is guided by the weekly chart showing BTCUSD below the 14-period moving average, indicating a bearish weekly trend. The RSI on weekly and daily charts is below 50, suggesting bearish momentum. A sell limit order is placed at 78599.49, near the zone where price previously met resistance, reinforced by the moving average on the daily and hourly charts. The stop loss is set above at 80000 to provide a buffer against short-term volatility, while the take profit at 77502.47 aims for a moderate pullback with a risk-to-reward ratio of around 1:0.8. The trader targets a price drop without pressing for an extended gain, consistent with recent bearish momentum and resistance levels.

Currently, the market lacks significant economic events that could heavily impact BTCUSD, with no major news in the LEFTURN calendar for the next 36 hours. This absence of fundamental drivers leaves technicals as the main influence on price movements. The trailing downtrend observed in multiple timeframes, combined with RSI levels, points to continued weakness, which supports the bearish entry once the price retraces upwards to the pending order level.

The trade may not fill if the price continues to fall without retracing to the limit order price. Additionally, a sharp bullish reversal beyond 80000 could trigger the stop loss, invalidating the trade thesis. If either scenario occurs, the loss is limited to 0.06% of the account. This trade relies heavily on price respecting the weekly trendline resistance and moving average as a ceiling. Not financial advice.

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The trader

Rafael Costa

Win rate100%
Closed trades1
Best instrumentXAUUSD
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