NZDUSDLong (buy)LOSS -1.00R

Kiwi Gaining Momentum To The Upside

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By Aji ·
Win rate 64% over 11 closed trades · best on EURUSD
NZDUSD buy trade idea chart by Aji

Charts · 4 in this plan

The idea

This trade to buy the New Zealand Dollar against the US Dollar is triggered because a momentum gauge recently moved up after being very low, indicating the pair might be gaining strength.

Daily (D1): On the daily chart, the Kiwi has been on a downtrend but is nearing an area where it has found support before. The momentum indicator is slowly recovering from a weak level, which suggests selling pressure might be easing.

8 hours (H8): The eight-hour chart shows the Kiwi has been dropping but is hovering near a recent low. The momentum gauge remains low but stable, hinting the selling may be pausing and preparing for a possible turn.

1 hour (H1): This is where the trade signal happened, as the momentum measure dipped below a low threshold and then moved back up, followed by a strong upward candle. The price is sitting just above a recent low and looking to start climbing.

5 minutes (M5): At this very short timeframe, the momentum has already turned positive and price is bouncing upward from a small dip, suggesting initial support and early buyer interest.

Market conditions: Traders should watch the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Core PPI reports at 13:30 UTC today, which can cause movement in the US Dollar. Positive or negative surprises there might impact this pair’s path.

Risk: The trade will close at a loss if the price falls below the stop loss set just under the recent lows, about 14 pips down. The target is roughly twice as far above the entry. If the momentum fails to hold or news affects the Kiwi or US Dollar sharply, the stop may be hit.

Not financial advice.

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The trader

Aji

Win rate64%
Closed trades11
Best instrumentEURUSD
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