Gold Poised to Climb on Pullback
Charts · 4 in this plan
The idea
Marcus Delgado's approach to this trade is simple: he notices when Gold has been moving strongly in one direction and then watches for two powerful moves pushing back the other way, suggesting the market might be ready to change course. Once this happens, he waits for the price to break above a trendline and hold there, then places a buy limit order at a key level, so the trade only activates if price dips to that spot.
15 minutes (M15): This chart reveals Gold trending downward recently but shows signs of slowing as some buying interest emerges. The short-term moving average line confirms the recent down moves, yet the newer candles suggest a possible pause or bounce could come soon, matching the buy order placement strategy.
1 hour (H1): At this timeframe, Gold has been on a clear downtrend, confirmed by the moving average tracking below price actions. Two strong upward candles appear after a downtrend, breaking above the trendline. The next candle holds above that line. This signals a possible reversal, so the buy limit order sits at the midpoint of that breakout candle, with the stop placed just below the recent lows to reduce risk.
4 hours (H4): The mid-term perspective shows a consistent downward trend but approaching a known support region where previous buying happened. The moving average here sticks above price, supporting the idea that sellers have been in control, but the recent candles indicate a potentially important level that the trader believes may hold and launch a rise.
Daily (D1): On the daily chart, Gold has been falling for some time, tracked by the moving average above the current price. However, price is nearing a historically strong support area that has previously arrested declines. This zone might provide the buying strength needed for the market to reverse upward, aligning with the setup in shorter timeframes.
Market conditions: Important economic reports due shortly include the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) and Core PPI, both expected at 13:30 UTC. These figures could impact the dollar and consequently Gold’s price movement. Traders should be attentive as these reports can add volatility.
Risk: The buy limit order will only trigger if price pulls back to the set level. The stop loss is positioned beyond the recent lows to limit losses if the market continues down. The take profit is set at three times the stop distance, aiming for a favorable reward compared to the risk. Unexpected news or stronger downward momentum could cause the trade to stop out or the order to remain unfilled.
Not financial advice.
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