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Lucas Ferreira Simulated results

Crypto momentum · BTC & ETH · Brazil · BTCUSD,ETHUSD

Trend-following on Bitcoin and Ethereum around weekly levels. Higher volatility and larger swings in equity: size accordingly.

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Historical pilot performance below · synthetic demonstration data

12-month return+15.8%
Max DD22.7%
Win rate36.0%
Closed trades314
Track record26.8 months
TRADER PERFORMANCE ANALYZER

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Filter closed trades by instrument, direction, plan status and period. Every metric and the equity curve below use the same matching database records. Traders can use this to study their own strategies too.

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FILTERED RETURN+105.8%
MAX DD22.66%
WIN RATE36.0%
PROFIT FACTOR1.29
CLOSED TRADES314

Filtered Equity Curve

Filtered Monthly Returns

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2026−10.9%+2.2%−9.2%+5.8%−1.8%+7.4%+1.0%+8.0%+2.4%+2.0%+5.0%
2025+5.0%+18.7%−7.6%+4.7%+1.5%−2.0%+2.2%+9.1%+6.3%+10.6%+0.8%+9.4%+73.5%
2024+9.0%+8.6%+1.5%+0.1%−6.0%+13.0%
For comparison only. Filtering a historical strategy changes its modeled equity path and may not represent a realizable future portfolio.
Matching closed trades & published plans314 matches · latest 40 available · click to expand
ClosedSymbolDirectionEntryResultPlan
Oct 31, 2026BTCUSDSELL78,377.840002.54RView plan
Oct 25, 2026BTCUSDBUY73,917.750002.32RView plan
Oct 23, 2026BTCUSDBUY69,140.48000-1.00RView plan
Oct 19, 2026BTCUSDSELL63,949.00000-1.00RView plan
Oct 9, 2026BTCUSDBUY66,677.44000-1.00RView plan
Oct 8, 2026ETHUSDSELL1,768.72000-1.00RView plan
Oct 3, 2026BTCUSDSELL71,817.290002.03RView plan
Oct 1, 2026BTCUSDBUY73,687.60000-1.00RView plan
Sep 30, 2026BTCUSDBUY74,018.05000-1.00RView plan
Sep 26, 2026ETHUSDBUY1,783.57000-1.00RView plan
Sep 25, 2026BTCUSDBUY72,659.98000-1.00RView plan
Sep 23, 2026BTCUSDSELL77,733.100001.11RView plan
Sep 20, 2026ETHUSDSELL1,883.680002.44RView plan
Sep 17, 2026BTCUSDBUY85,379.60000-1.00RView plan
Sep 13, 2026ETHUSDSELL1,794.21000-1.00RView plan
Sep 11, 2026BTCUSDSELL89,880.680002.49RView plan
Sep 10, 2026BTCUSDSELL95,439.810002.44RView plan
Sep 10, 2026ETHUSDSELL1,779.58000-1.00RView plan
Sep 7, 2026ETHUSDSELL1,830.68000-1.00RView plan
Sep 2, 2026BTCUSDBUY103,172.050000.67RView plan
Aug 31, 2026BTCUSDSELL105,222.950002.50RView plan
Aug 22, 2026BTCUSDSELL97,894.86000-1.00RView plan
Aug 16, 2026BTCUSDBUY97,559.20000-1.00RView plan
Aug 11, 2026BTCUSDSELL91,083.30000-1.00RView plan
Aug 10, 2026BTCUSDBUY86,006.610001.03RView plan
Aug 10, 2026ETHUSDSELL1,888.58000-1.00RView plan
Aug 7, 2026ETHUSDSELL1,908.41000-1.00RView plan
Aug 7, 2026BTCUSDSELL83,448.08000-1.00RView plan
Aug 6, 2026ETHUSDBUY1,877.180002.91RView plan
Aug 5, 2026BTCUSDBUY82,542.310002.11RView plan
Aug 3, 2026BTCUSDBUY85,100.360002.21RView plan
Jul 31, 2026BTCUSDSELL87,263.490002.30RView plan
Jul 27, 2026ETHUSDSELL2,453.830002.32RView plan
Jul 24, 2026BTCUSDBUY87,470.92000-1.00RView plan
Jul 24, 2026ETHUSDBUY2,068.930002.15RView plan
Jul 22, 2026BTCUSDSELL85,600.05000-1.00RView plan
Jul 21, 2026ETHUSDSELL2,157.870002.61RView plan
Jul 19, 2026BTCUSDSELL86,608.56000-1.00RView plan
Jul 15, 2026BTCUSDSELL95,325.98000-1.00RView plan
Jul 15, 2026BTCUSDBUY100,789.59000-1.00RView plan
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Account growth

Monthly returns

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2026−10.9%+2.2%−9.2%+5.8%−1.8%+7.4%+1.0%+8.0%+2.4%+2.0%+5.0%
2025+5.0%+18.7%−7.6%+4.7%+1.5%−2.0%+2.2%+9.1%+6.3%+10.6%+0.8%+9.4%+73.5%
2024+9.0%+8.6%+1.5%+0.1%−6.0%+13.0%

By instrument

InstrumentTradesWin rateAvg R
BTCUSD22038.2%0.23
ETHUSD9430.9%0.07

Copy by instrument

BTCUSD · 25 tokens ($62.50) per account, per 30 days

ETHUSD · 18 tokens ($45.00) per account, per 30 days

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Trade ideas & results

Trade planPublishedInstrumentOutcome
BTCUSD Short: daily level retestOct 30, 2026 17:08 UTCBTCUSD2.54R
BTCUSD Long: sweep of the Asia highOct 25, 2026 02:42 UTCBTCUSD2.32R
BTCUSD Long: daily level retestOct 22, 2026 20:42 UTCBTCUSD-1.00R
BTCUSD Short: supply zone rejectionOct 18, 2026 18:26 UTCBTCUSD-1.00R
BTCUSD Long: H1 order block reactionOct 8, 2026 06:58 UTCBTCUSD-1.00R
ETHUSD Short: H1 order block reactionOct 6, 2026 19:05 UTCETHUSD-1.00R
BTCUSD Short: fair value gap fill into trendOct 3, 2026 17:02 UTCBTCUSD2.03R
BTCUSD Long: opening range breakoutSep 30, 2026 14:23 UTCBTCUSD-1.00R
BTCUSD Long: post-news continuationSep 29, 2026 17:08 UTCBTCUSD-1.00R
ETHUSD Long: London breakout retestSep 26, 2026 06:29 UTCETHUSD-1.00R
BTCUSD Long: 4H trend pullback to EMA 50Sep 23, 2026 21:26 UTCBTCUSD-1.00R
BTCUSD Short: CHoCH after a liquidity sweepSep 20, 2026 15:19 UTCBTCUSD1.11R
ETHUSD Short: sweep of the Asia lowSep 20, 2026 08:57 UTCETHUSD2.44R
BTCUSD Long: post-news continuationSep 17, 2026 08:04 UTCBTCUSD-1.00R
ETHUSD Short: 4H trend pullback to EMA 50Sep 13, 2026 09:12 UTCETHUSD-1.00R
BTCUSD Short: London breakout retestSep 11, 2026 01:11 UTCBTCUSD2.49R
ETHUSD Short: sweep of the Asia lowSep 9, 2026 23:06 UTCETHUSD-1.00R
BTCUSD Short: fair value gap fill into trendSep 8, 2026 13:03 UTCBTCUSD2.44R
ETHUSD Short: demand zone bounceSep 7, 2026 02:28 UTCETHUSD-1.00R
BTCUSD Long: break of structure continuationSep 1, 2026 15:34 UTCBTCUSD0.67R